The Rise Of Jamaat-e-Islami And Political Dilemma In Bangladesh

The rise of Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI), with its ideological ties to the Muslim Brotherhood, alongside its alliance with ultra-Islamist groups Hefazat-e-Islam and Ansar-ul-Bangla Team, threatens Bangladesh’s democratic integrity.

Intelligence reports suggest that even student leaders may be influenced by these Islamists. Additionally, neither the Bangladesh Army nor Yunus has effectively curbed anti-Awami League and anti-Hindu violence, with troops becoming passive observers.

Indian national security planners have observed the rise of Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI) with concern due to its security implications for India. JeI’s influence extends to Jammu and Kashmir and other regions within India.

In the 1990s, Jamaat was instrumental in the rise of SIMI across states like UP, Maharashtra, and undivided Andhra Pradesh, which was later weaponized by Pakistan into the Indian Mujahideen.

The group has been pivotal in fostering pro-Pakistani sentiment in the Valley by radicalizing youth to take up arms. The interim Govt in Bangladesh is delaying the announcement of elections, which, combined with a weak administration, rising Islamic radicalization, and a deteriorating economy, could lead to disaster for Dhaka.

On the other hand, the currently intimidated Awami League workers may regroup in the coming months to challenge the BNP and its influential affiliate, Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI). Reports suggest that JeI has gained ground in Bangladesh since August 5, at the BNP’s expense.

Although interim leader Yunus is focusing on Sheikh Hasina and suggesting the possibility of her extradition from India, the real threat to Bangladesh’s political stability comes from rising Islamist forces, while the exiled leader struggles with her sudden removal.

India, concerned about the violence against Hindus and Awami League workers, is monitoring the situation closely. An indecisive interim Government could fuel dissatisfaction among the youth who ousted Hasina, exacerbating the ongoing economic crisis.

The closure of textile mills and garment units is leading to rising unemployment and political instability, with Bangladesh’s external and internal debt exceeding USD 100 billion. Bangladesh is sitting on a political powder keg and could face a major explosion within the year.